jim wrote:
I agree Jim, that is another possibility. If that is a kind of solution, then the political implicationsbehind the agreement will be very interesting.
Romano Prodi is on record of saying the Euro will provide an opportunity to achieve political change:http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2011/10/31/ ... t-to-fail/Quote:
Could it be that the politicians and eurocrats who designed the structures of the euro zone always knew they were flawed, but reasoned that a structural breakdown would enable them to bring in the common fiscal policy that would otherwise have been politically impossible?
Quote:
Mr. Jeffrey’s argument takes us well beyond the idea that the politicians thought that political will alone could hold the euro zone together. It suggests they knew it wouldn’t. So I asked him if he meant that, and this was his reply:
“The point is that, if you were being logical, a common currency would be the last thing you introduced (after common fiscal policy, legal systems, market regulation, etc.) if you were trying to bring countries into some sort of political federation, since it would be a common currency and monetary policy that would expose all the tensions between economies.
“But the politicians reversed this argument, and saw the currency union as a forcing first step, since it would necessitate a more federal approach in other areas, such as fiscal policy, if it were to be successful.”
To back his case, Mr. Jeffrey quotes Romano Prodi in the Financial Times in 2001, when he was president of the European Commission:
“I am sure the euro will oblige us to introduce a new set of economic policy instruments. It is politically impossible to propose that now. But some day there will be a crisis and new instruments will be created.”
There are too many pointers where officials have implied that the Euro was intended to provide a future political opportunity for closer political union, for those pointers to be simply brushed aside if of no account.