Good afternoon all and I trust you enjoyed and made the most of the very pleasant Bank Holiday Weekend weather ? That's 2 decent Bank Holidays in a row now, and given the fact how poor this year has been so far, not far short of a miracle.
Today is pretty much as predicted......atrocious. Heavy persistent rain under slate grey skies and 12c ( 54f ) at Raf Northolt, just 3 days away from the official start of summer 2013.
I am still hanging my hopes on things slowly improving by the weekend, and there are still some signs that it will amongst the computer models. As has so often been the case in recent months though, that confidence slowly evaporates as we head into what I call the 'reliable time frame' ( 3-5 days ).
The Jet Stream has been doing some strange things for a while now, and that looks like continuing for the forseeable future. Generally speaking it should be heading north at this time of year, and guiding the worst of the weather systems to the north of the UK. This year it has remained way to the south, and the latest charts show it breaking in 2, with one section over North Africa and the other section pretty much over Iceland.
All in all I am leaning towards the belief that we are seeing a change in our weather patterns, ( and have been seen since 2006/07 to be honest ) and the computer models can't handle it. One thing I do know.....its playing havoc with making forecasts and predictions, even local ones !!
Moley
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